The finishing line is in sight, it’s a four horse race and there is only one fence to go, who’s going to fall at that final hurdle? It’s the big question that everyone is asking, who will win the Premier League? There are arguably four teams involved in the Premier League title race this season; Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool and Man City. So which one will be lifting the crown by the end of the season? Find out right here with these awesome predictions!
Arsenal sit on 62 points with 8 games left to play, which are against Swansea H (home), City H, Everton A (away), West Ham H, Hull A, Newcastle H, West Brom H and Norwich A. Quite frankly I don’t think Arsenal are good enough to win the league, and I had that opinion before they were embarrassed 6-0 by Chelsea (and before then if you look back in the archives). The one thing Arsenal have in their favour is a fairly easy fixture schedule, with only their games against Everton and City being tough fixtures. Currently Arsenal sit 7 points behind Chelsea with a game in hand, and to win the league I think that they will need to win all of their games, which I seriously doubt they will be able to do. For me they will lose (probably humiliatingly) to City and also drop points to Everton, as well as one of the teams they should really be beating. That leaves Arsenal sitting at the end of the season on 79 points and with a substantially worse goal difference than their competitors, the FA Cup is where they are most likely to find success.
Chelsea sit atop the table with 69 points and 7 games left to play, which are against; Palace A, Stoke H, Swansea A, Sunderland H, Liverpool A, Norwich H and Cardiff A. Chelsea have the enviable position of having played more games than their competitors and an easy run to finish the season, but they have unenviable position of having the Champions League to still compete in (yes unenviable). When you look at it from simply a position of winning the league, there is nothing worse than having equally as important fixtures to play, especially when your two main title contenders have only the league to concentrate on. I think Chelsea will definitely win six out of seven of those games; the only question mark is against Liverpool. To be continued…
Liverpool have 65 points with 8 games left to play, which are against; Sunderland H, Spurs H, West Ham A, City H, Norwich A, Chelsea H, Palace A and Newcastle H. Throughout the season I have waited for the wheels to fall off the Liverpool bus, this team is not good enough to win the league, yet there they are second and only 4 points off of Chelsea with a game in hand at home to Sunderland (almost a guaranteed 3 points). How can a team which is in my opinion the sixth best squad in the league be putting in a serious title challenge? There is one word which describes the situation perfectly; confidence. Look at Man Utd, who could honestly say that Liverpool have a better squad than Utd? Nobody who is being honest, yet Liverpool have been much better than Utd this season, so why? Well one team is playing with absolute confidence and the other team has none at all. Fair play to Liverpool because they are playing high flying attacking football and deserve to be in the spot which they find themselves. I was always of the opinion that they could afford to concede three goals against teams like Cardiff because they could then go on and score six, but against the top teams they would still concede the three goals but wouldn’t be able to score as many, this turned out to be wrong. Anyway Liverpool should win six out of eight of their games, with the only question marks being against City and Chelsea. To be continued…
City sit on 63 points with a whopping 10 games still to play, which are against; Utd A, Arsenal A, Southampton H, Liverpool A, Sunderland H, West Brom H, Palace A, Everton A, Villa H and West Ham H. City have easily the hardest run in of the title contending clubs, not only do they have the most games, they also have by far the hardest games. I think it’s probably fair to assume that they will win all their home games and their away game to Palace, but they also have away games to Utd, Arsenal, Liverpool and Everton. I think City will beat Arsenal (because they are a total mismatch), and for all the world they should be able to beat a Utd team whose home record is nothing short of embarrassing this season, but I get a sneaky suspicion that Utd will cause an upset (yes Utd not losing at Old Trafford this season is an upset…), and City traditionally struggle against Everton. I don’t think that they will necessarily lose to both Utd and Everton, but I don’t see them winning both games. To be continued…
So who’s winning the league? I’ve deliberately not said who will win the games between the top three contenders because it would mean I would be repeating myself, well, three times. If the other results go the way I think they will then Chelsea will be on 87, City will be on 84 and Liverpool on 83 but with an extra game than the other two. Now if results go the way I think they will it means that both Liverpool and Chelsea will have their own destiny in their hands, but in reality only City does. The problem with City is that they have a much harder run in than the other two, which means that their variables are much higher than Liverpool and Chelsea’s. If City beat Arsenal, Everton and Utd, then they will win the league, I just don’t think it will happen and that is why I don’t think City will win the league, in fact I think that they will be beaten by Liverpool who will rip City’s backline to bits (Demichelis anyone?). For me as things stand, I think City will finish third in the league on 84 points.
That leaves us in the situation of Chelsea on 87 and Liverpool on 86, this makes their match up just three games from the end of the season quite mouth-watering indeed. One match to rule them all, one match to win them, one match to bring them all, the success that will find them. Anyway…it’s a shoot-out between two clubs, winner takes all, the best defence in the league versus the best attack, and something’s got to give. Sadly for Liverpool it will be their chance of winning their first title in over twenty years and finally becoming relevant again, almost as if it were the eighties. I can’t see Chelsea conceding more than two goals against Liverpool and I also can’t see Chelsea not scoring at least two against a leaky Liverpool defence. The big difference between the two teams is that Chelsea need to not lose and Liverpool need to win. If there is one thing Mourinho knows how to do, it is to play out a boring 0-0 when that’s the result that’s needed. Essentially what I’m saying is I think Chelsea will beat Liverpool (even though they don’t need to) and win the league, with Liverpool coming second.
Now don’t get me wrong, there is going to be a surprise result along the way that nobody saw coming (like Villa beating Chelsea, despite the fact they hadn’t won two home games in a row for four years). Despite that, and despite the fact that I doubt that Chelsea will win their last eight games in a row, I still think that they will win the league because they have the easiest run of fixtures and are least likely of the three teams to have a costly slip up.
So Chelsea fans rejoice! I think you’ll win the league, and hey you probably will as well, so thumbs up to you. City and Liverpool fans begin to cry into your hats (or bin bags for the Liverpool fans) because it is going to be at least another year before your team will be lifting that gorgeous Premier League trophy. Leave a comment and let everyone know how you think the league will culminate. Plus find all the latest bm23sportsreviews updates on Facebook and Twitter.