Day 17 of the World Cup didn’t look like much on paper, how wrong could that be? Two games packed with drama, two games with decisive stoppage time goals, one of the best extra times you will ever see and everyone loves a penalty shootout, quite a remarkable day.
The games for Day 18 are France v Nigeria and Germany v Algeria.
France Nigeria Over 2.5 Goals 17/20
France are heavy odds on but I think it is a closer game than the bookies would have you believe. With that in mind I don’t think there is any real value on betting with France, so due to the fact that I think that we will see goals over 2.5 at about evens is a good price.
France to win Both teams to score 12/5
I think France will win and I think they will concede, Nigeria aren’t as bad as some people are making out and could put up a genuine threat. I do think France will have enough to win but will concede along the way, it should be an open game.
Germany to win -2 2/1
This game is more one sided than the France game, so the odds are even worse. Germany will win the match because Algeria are pretty shit, they will however try and defend for their lives and that could cause Germany problems. If Germany score one the score could be pretty much anything, but it will be dependent on the first goal coming prior to half time.
Howedes first goal scorer 25/1
It really is tough to pick up good odds for this game because Germany or such heavy favourites, however due to the way that Algeria will likely play the game Germany’s best chance of scoring will come from a set piece. Howedes has been threatening to score for a couple of games now, so it’s worth a go.
It is always pretty hard to find good value when two teams are so heavily favourite (unless you want to back the underdogs) but who knows after todays Holland game maybe there is a shock waiting to happen.