The biggest competition in golf has returned once again and it is making its way to the home of golf and the most iconic golf course in the world of St. Andrews. Amazingly enough the defending champion Rory McIlroy won’t be able to attempt to retain his crown after picking up an ankle ligaments injury playing football…what a dafty.
Anyway the tips which are in this post aren’t necessarily the players who I think are most likely to win but rather those who pose the best value. I’d recommend betting each way.
Paul Casey 33/1
Casey has had a really good season so far with six top ten finishes already to his name. Casey is finally getting back to his form of old where he was a legitimate threat to win a major on a consistent basis. There are some concerns about Casey as a pick, for instance he hasn’t won in almost a year and has in the past shown some less than encouragable traits when in the lead of a big tournament. Despite that Casey finished 3rd the last time the Open was at St. Andrews, has a game which suits playing links golf and is coming on to some strong form, he is due a big win sometime soon and at 33/1 he is a tasty price.
Brandt Snedeker 50/1
Four top tens for Snedeker prior to the Open this year, which is some hot ass form. Snedeker had an awful 2014 by his standards but since hooking up with Butch Harmon his form has significantly picked up once again. It isn’t beyond Sneds to win big tournaments and he likes playing by the sea. Sneds has the accurate type of game which is essential for playing links golf and has a touch of magic around the greens which at St. Andrews is a must. 50/1 for a player on a hot streak who has the perfect game for the golf course, it sounds pretty good to me.
Branden Grace 50/1
Grace is an up and comer who very much seems like he will be the next in a long line of quality South African golfers. Grace is having a solid although not spectacular season, the highlight of which was finishing 4th at the US Open where he put in a good display but ultimately came up short on the last day. That experience of being joint leader going in to the last day of a major will be invaluable and hold him in good stead going in to the Open, add this to a good performance at the Scottish Open (which is played just down the coast and likely in very similar conditions to St. Andrews this week) and the fact that Grace has won previously at St. Andrews in the Alfred Dunhill Links and at 50/1 he is a very solid bet.
Victor Dubuisson 66/1
Dubuisson’s form this season has been fairly poor and missing the cut in the first two majors of the year doesn’t make for pretty reading, however the French wizard has turned his form around with three solid performances in the last three weeks, culminating in a top ten finish at the Scottish Open. Links golf requires a player to be accurate but probably more importantly than that is a requirement of a touch of magic, I just referred to Dubuisson as a wizard…I think you get the picture. Dubuisson has incredible invention in his short game and whether you’re up against the wall on the 17th or have a 100ft putt, I’m sure he has a trick or five up his sleeve and at 66/1 he is a bit of a steal.
Tiger Woods 40/1
I’ve put this one out of order because in many ways it is ridiculous, Woods is only about a month removed from almost finishing dead last at the US Open and hasn’t looked like putting in a meaningful challenge in almost two years of play, I mustn’t also forget to mention that his driving his been wild and his short game incredibly inconsistent. Yet with all that said here he is being tipped to win a tournament which in all reality he doesn’t have a sniff of winning, however the Old Course isn’t your standard golf course, no it is anything but, form is meaningless and history is everything. All you have to do is take a little look at Woods’ history at St. Andrews and you will realise why this tip is being made. 40/1 is a good price at any time on Woods but he is playing so badly it should really be much higher, and trust me when I say that if the Open was being played at any other course I wouldn’t be tipping Woods, however weird things happen at St. Andrews.
There you have it my 5 tips for the 144th Open Championship. I personally expect the winner to be a bit of a surprise because the favourites (apart from Rickie Fowler) don’t really do it for me. The weather reports are not looking too good and it looks like it could be a windy one, and by windy I mean fucking windy, however as people who have been to Scotland will know the weather changes more frequently than well the Scottish weather…hm…should’ve came up with a better line…my pants? I dunno…it doesn’t really matter, it changes shit tons is what I’m saying.
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