It’s the return of the World Cup betting tips!!! Four years ago I predicted like a mad man and made tons of money on my £1 bets! That’s right…I’m the sort of guy who risks it all! Continue reading “2018 World Cup Pre-Tournament Betting Tips”
The third group of four teams have been confirmed for the last 16 and the ties line up like France v Nigeria and Argentina v Switzerland. It has been a weird World Cup so far especially this last round of games, with teams who have nothing to play for playing out drab games rather than going for broke because fuck it it’s the World Cup and they only come round every four years.
The games for Day 15 are Portugal v Ghana, Germany v USA, Algeria v Russia and Belgium v South Korea.
Ghana to win and Both teams to score 4/1
Both teams will score and there is likely to be goals, the question is who will win? If Portugal’s last two performances are anything to go by then it certainly won’t be them. Ghana actually played well against USA but lost and they played well against Germany and got a draw. They have the power and pace to torment a Portugal team which is very lacklustre looking, it really could be anything. The one shining light for Portugal is Ronaldo and the sad thing about this World Cup is that he clearly isn’t fully fit and without him Portugal aren’t even an average team. As another bet check out Ghana and over 3.5 goals which comes in at a very tasty 7/1.
Germany to win -1 11/8
Germany should win this game but the cynic in me see two teams only needing a draw to qualify for the next round and the manager of the weaker nation being a legend of the stronger nation, it’s pretty hard to ignore. I really hope these thoughts which I am having are just nonsense but if they play out a low scoring draw I really wouldn’t be shocked. If my cynic side is wrong and these two play out a competitive game then Germany should thump USA because they need a confidence boost and the USA aren’t that good and will be stuck in two minds about what to do in the game.
This is a really tough game to call because Russia have been far from impressive in their two games whereas Algeria were very impressive in their last outing. However the European in me says that Russia will show their class and squeeze out a low scoring win. Algeria are going to be stuck in two minds in this game, they will probably play for the draw because that will get them through to the next round but it is a dangerous game to play because although Russia haven’t shown it yet they do have players who can punish you. Hopefully Capello takes the chains off the team and plays Dzagoev from the start, I have my doubts but it is what he should do.
Belgium to win Both teams to score 12/5
You would think I would learn because every time I see a team which has qualified against a team which is basically out I think they will both just go for it and try and win the game and so far I’ve been pretty wrong. Despite that I think we will see goals because Belgium have looked sluggish so far and will want to prove a point and South Korea are pretty useless defensively, it should be a perfect storm but based on prior matches it will end up being 0-0 or something…
This is the final day of the group stages and we will know the exact paths for each team towards the final and the glory of becoming the world champions. We will also encounter that weird situation on Friday of having no football for a whole day… don’t know what I’ll do to be honest…probably just sit about looking at the TV hoping for football to appear whilst sadly knowing that I have to wait a whole day before it happens…it’s going to be pretty damn tough.
The second four teams have been confirmed for the last 16 and the ties line up like Colombia v Uruguay and Costa Rica v Greece. Yes apparently we are going to have either Greece or Costa Rica in the quarter finals of the World Cup…not sure who had that prior to the tournament but good for you! I’m sure the Dutch will be licking their lips at their passage to the semis of Mexico and either Costa Rica or Greece. It is also interesting to note that we will have at least one South American team in the semis as the winner of Brazil v Chile will play Colombia v Uruguay.
Onto the fixtures for Day 14 which are Bosnia v Iran, Nigeria v Argentina, Ecuador v France and Honduras v Switzerland.
Bosnia are due a result and are likely to play with freedom after being knocked out. I’d say they’ve been fairly unlucky so far in the tournament and now face an Iran team who think attacking is that thing you do in badminton. A draw is no use to Iran so they will have to come out and attack which means they will almost certainly play for a 0-0. Iran aren’t very good going forward so it’s a big ask for them to score and with their need to attack it will allow for Bosnia more space to score.
Argentina to win and Both teams to score 12/5
Argentina don’t look particularly good defensively and despite the fact they are stacked with attacking talent they also don’t look particularly good going forward, so far in both games they have done just enough. Nigeria amazingly haven’t conceded yet but I can’t see that changing because…you know…it’s Nigeria.
France to win and Both teams to score 12/5
France will win because they have an incredibly deep squad and are likely to use it. I don’t think that Ecuador are that good but must win the match because Switzerland will beat Honduras. I think it will be an open game because France seem to love scoring goals and Ecuador are a physical side which will look to counter. The score could be anything, well anything but 0-0, although I did think that about the Costa Rica England game…
Switzerland to win -2 11/4
Switzerland need to run up a score just in case Ecuador beat France and Honduras will probably just go about kicking them. 5/2 for a red card in the match isn’t a bad bet either based upon the style which Honduras play.
Three out of the four games I see as being pretty simple results predictions, the only one which I have any doubts over is the Bosnia Iran match and that is simply based upon the fact that surely Iran will try and win the game which we haven’t seen yet (they just counter attacked against Argentina which won’t cut it), logic says Bosnia but this World Cup hasn’t used much logic yet…
The first four teams have fallen into place for the knockout stages and we will see Brazil v Chile and Holland v Mexico. I thought that games would be hard to predict and I was right, with teams having different priorities than just winning a game. The exact same problem arises in the game for Day 13 with teams like England out of the tournament and teams like Colombia and Costa Rica resting players because they are already qualified, so it shall be interesting.
The games for Day 13 are Costa Rica v England, Uruguay v Italy, Greece v Ivory Coast and Colombia v Japan.
Costa Rica-England Over 2.5 Goals and Both teams to score 6/5
This game is almost impossible to predict, we know that England are making 9 changes from the team which played the last game and are essentially putting out the reserves and it is a decent guess to assume that Costa Rica will rest their key players because they have already qualified, the problem is who is going to be better? You would imagine England’s second team will be better than Costa Rica’s but then you would also imagine that Costa Rica would be sitting on 0 points currently. With that in mind and because I feel this game could go either way the best bet is to bet neither team and rather bet the game. I’d expect it to be open because why the fuck would either team defend? Exactly. If you are wanting to bet a team, then all the value if found with Costa Rica who sit at 16/5 even though they play England reserves and have won their last game whilst England’s first team have lost both of theirs…go figure…
It is a really open game, it is easy to see any of the three outcomes being the result, however I think that Italy are slightly the better side. The reasons for that are simple Italy do two things very well, control the game and defend. Uruguay on the other hand do neither of those things well and are heavily reliant on Suarez and Cavani to pull them through games. Uruguay need the win as a draw won’t be enough so I see Italy allowing them to have the ball and hitting them on the counter and once they have that lead controlling the game in a way that only Italians can.
Greece to Qualify 4/1
Greece to win the game is 14/5 but to qualify they are 4/1…the bookies realise that this doesn’t add up because the only way they qualify is if they win? Clearly not, clearly the bookies think that Japan’s chances of beating Colombia are enough to knock a point of their price. This is maybe a controversial choice because you would think that Ivory Coast are a shoe in but I really like Greece for this, they are due a goal (only score once in past eight World Cup games) and if there is one team who can gold a 1-0 lead it is Greece. Ivory Coast have been very poor so far in my opinion and they don’t match up well against Greece, both teams are powerhouses and Greece are much better defensively, in contrast Ivory Coast can’t defend and therefore I don’t think will win.
As an interesting side note my tip of Greece to be the lowest scoring team pre-tournament is looking pretty good as they are in a dead heat with Iran for the lowest scorers (both haven’t scored yet).
I’m sure Colombia will win this match because Japan have looked very lightweight at this World Cup; the only question is by how many? Colombia are almost certain to put out a weakened team with top spot all but guaranteed, but should still be good enough to beat Japan. Without knowing the team I can’t say whether or not I’d go with Colombia -1 which is a nice price at 5/2, but it is worth a look unless they make severe changes.
Italy to win group 8/1
This one is a bit out there; it is asking Italy to win by two and Costa Rica to lose by two or essentially a four goal swing. Is it totally beyond the realms of possibility that England run rampant against a weakened Costa Rica and Italy just do enough against Uruguay? The answer is no, I think it’s worth a punt.
Should be another interesting day with three really good games and one which is fairly meaningless (yet somehow is still being shown on ITV1…you’re out accept it give us Italy Uruguay!). If you are a Dutch fan you will be wetting your pants at the prospect of Costa Rica winning Group D because they will likely play one of Ivory Coast, Greece or Japan which means that if the Dutch beat Mexico in the last 16 (highly likely) they will face the winner of that match, which would be a rather generous quarter final opponent. The Dutch have a clear run to the semis if Costa Rica win Group D and they also all of a sudden become incredibly serious contenders.
There is only one round of group games left to go, one last chance to get through the group and make it to the start of the real competition and the last 16. This is also the start of the old double games, as in two games on at the same time, which means four games in one day. It also means that these games are incredibly unpredictable because teams may have different motives or be playing a meaningless game.
The games for Day 12 are Australia v Spain, Chile v Holland, Brazil v Cameroon and Croatia v Mexico.
Spain-Australia Both teams to score and goals over 2.5 11/10
This match is totally unpredictable, you know that Australia will give it their all but so far Spain have been absolutely atrocious and if they play like they have in the previous two matches they will lose. It should be an open fun game because neither team has anything to lose; I just don’t know who will win. Logic says Spain but logic also said Spain went through the group, so clearly logic was wrong. Australia are a very tasty price at 7/1 if you’re looking for something a little bit more rewarding.
Holland to win Both teams to score 7/2
There’s going to be goals and it is believed that both teams will rest their star players so the result really is up in the air. I think that Holland have a better squad of players so the loss of RVP and Robben will be felt less than the loss of Vidal for Chile for instance. The odds for this game are very open so there is a lot of value out there.
Brazil-Cameroon Red card in match 10/3
Cameroon have absolutely no discipline and I get the feeling that Brazil are going to play flamboyant football which will only piss them off more. The problem with this match is that Brazil are 1/7 so the odds in every market are really poor, so instead you have to bet novelty markets like this. Another good novelty market to bet for this game is Brazil to score a penalty at 7/2.
Croatia Mexico is a really open game which either team could win. Personally I give the edge to Mexico because they have put in two good performances so far and look fairly solid defensively (not so much at set pieces). It is a tough call and it is made all the tougher by the fact that a draw is no use to Croatia, I do think that Mexico are the better side though and hence are the more likely to win the game.
Three out of four of the games for Day 12 are incredibly hard to predict and are very open indeed, that makes for great value out there, especially in the first goal scorer market. I would recommend taking a look at the team line-ups prior to the match because there is good value out there with a lot of the big dogs not playing.